U.K. and Japan Fell into Recessions at the End of Last Year

U.K. real GDP shrank by 1.4% in the fourth quarter of 2023 following a 0.3% fall in the quarter before. Japan also had two consecutive quarters of shrinking real GDP—3.3% in the third quarter and 0.4% in the fourth. U.S. real GDP grew 3.3% in the fourth quarter.—Investopedia, February 16, 2024. What is a recession? … Continue reading U.K. and Japan Fell into Recessions at the End of Last Year

History’s Inflation Lessons

IMF economists Anil Ari, Carlos Mulas-Granados, Lev Ratnovski, and Wei Zhao and Victor Mylonas of Tilburg University, explored 111 inflation shocks between 1973 and 2014. Use the links to read this important study. Here is a summary of what they found. Sources: Anil Ari, Lev Ratnovski, History’s Inflation Lessons, International Monetary Fund, December 2023, and … Continue reading History’s Inflation Lessons

Job Growth Twice As Strong As Expected In January

The U.S. added 353,000 jobs in January, almost double the 185,000 economists expected, as the economy walks the tightrope of maintaining a strong labor market while simultaneously bringing down inflation to a palatable level. The unemployment rate stayed flat at 3.7 percent.—Forbes, February 2, 2024 Why did the unemployment rate stay flat when employment increased? … Continue reading Job Growth Twice As Strong As Expected In January

De Beers Makes Sharp Cuts to Diamond Prices After Sales Grind to Near Halt

During the pandemic, the demand for diamond jewellery boomed, but demand quickly faded as social restriction eased. Many diamond jewellery sellers were left with excess stock that they had bought at high prices. In January 2024, De Beers cut prices by about 10 per cent across the board and up to 25 percent for larger … Continue reading De Beers Makes Sharp Cuts to Diamond Prices After Sales Grind to Near Halt

Federal Judge Blocks JetBlue’s $3.8 Billion Acquisition of Spirit Airlines

In January 2024 , a federal judge blocked JetBlue Airways $3.8 billion deal to buy Spirit Airlines, rejecting a merger that he said would hamper competition and lead to higher fares. The ruling marks a victory for the U.S. Department of Justice, which stopped the JetBlue and Spirit deal from going ahead. The Data: Figure … Continue reading Federal Judge Blocks JetBlue’s $3.8 Billion Acquisition of Spirit Airlines

The Fed’s Interest Rate Toolkit

Federal Reserve (the Fed) Chair Jerome Powell describes the Fed’s interest rate tools as follows: “The Federal Reserve sets two overnight interest rates: the interest rate paid on banks' reserve balances and the rate on our reverse repurchase agreements. We use these two administered rates to keep a market-determined rate, the federal funds rate, within … Continue reading The Fed’s Interest Rate Toolkit

Cheerios Maker General Mills Cuts Sales As Price Hikes Hammer Demand

Price hikes, undertaken to offset steep input costs, primarily labor costs, have pushed consumers to buy smaller pack sizes for pantry staples and pet food, as well as opt for cheaper private-label alternatives.—Reuters, December 20, 2023 In this post, we look at the price hike that consumers face and use the model of demand and … Continue reading Cheerios Maker General Mills Cuts Sales As Price Hikes Hammer Demand