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Warner Bros. Discovery Chooses Netflix Over Paramount

Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) rejected Paramount’s bid and accepted Netflix’s offer for its streaming and studio assets. A key concern with Paramount’s proposal was the large amount of debt required. Antitrust authorities are expected to focus primarily on the paid streaming market when evaluating such mergers.—ft.com

Market Data
The U.S. paid streaming market shares (2025) are led by Netflix (28.3%), Hulu (12.3%), HBO Max (owned by Warner Bros. Discovery, 10.7%), and Prime Video (9.2%). Other competitors include Paramount+ (7.7%) and several smaller streaming services.—business insider.com

Answer the following questions to check your understanding of the story.

1) What is the four-firm concentration ratio in the U.S. paid streaming market?

Wrong! - A 100% concentration ratio would imply only four firms in the market. 10.7% is HBO Max’s individual market share, not the four-firm ratio. Revenue shares are provided, which are sufficient to calculate the ratio.

Correct! - The four largest firms are Netflix, Hulu, HBO Max, and Prime Video. Their combined market share is 28.3 + 12.3 + 10.7 + 9.2 = 60.5%.

2) What type of market best describes the U.S. paid streaming industry?

Wrong! - There cannot be more than one major firm in a monopoly. Perfect competition requires many small firms with identical products. Monopolistic competition involves many firms with small market shares.

Well Done! - A small number of large firms dominate the market, which is characteristic of an oligopoly.

3) Would antitrust authorities be more likely to approve a merger between Warner Bros. Discovery and Netflix rather than a merger between Warner Bros. Discovery and Paramount, assuming the relevant market is only paid streaming?

Wrong! - Option B reverses the HHI logic; the Netflix merger increases concentration more. Option C may hold in a broader market, but regulators are more likely to focus on paid streaming. Although market definition matters in general, the question specifies the paid streaming market.

That's Right! - In the paid streaming market, combining Netflix (28.3%) with Warner Bros’ HBO Max (10.7%) increases the HHI by about 600 points, which is larger than the roughly 400-point increase from a Paramount (7.7%)–Warner Bros. merger. A larger HHI increase makes a merger more likely to be challenged.

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