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Slowdown in Russia’s economy

Russia’s GDP growth has fallen from 5% to zero since the end of last year.  Conscription and the emigration has increased money wages by 18%.—economist.com

Answer the following questions to check your understanding of the story.

How do you expect conscription and emigration to change the Russian real wage rate?

Conscription and emigration ___________ and the real wage rate ________.

Wrong! - How would conscription and emigration influence Russia’s labor market? What will be the effect on the real wage rate? Why would conscription and emigration influence the demand for labor?

Good Job! - Conscription reduces the size of the civilian labor force. Russian emigration reduces the working-age population. Both of these factors decrease the supply of labor and the real wage rate rises.

What can we infer from the news clip about inflation in Russia?

 Russian is experiencing __________.

Wrong! - With 0% growth, how is the real wage rate changing? With the money wage rate increasing by 18%, is a deflation or zero inflation likely?  We know in which direction the inflation rate is changing but do we know by how much?

Well Done! - The real wage rate is the nominal wage rate divided by the price level. With zero growth, the increase in the real wage rate is small and most of the 18% increase in money wages is from inflation.

Why did the money wage rate increase in Russia?

The money wage rate increased because ____________.

Wrong! - What happened in the labor market? Did the real wage rate decrease? What happened to the inflation rate? Did the price level decrease?

Correct! - W is the money wage rate.

W/P is the real wage rate.

P is the price level.

W = W/P * P

We know that the real wage rate increased and the price level increased,  so money wage rate increased.

What can the Russian central bank do to increase the growth rate and lower the inflation rate?

The Russian central bank can _____________ the inflation rate.

Wrong! - Can the central bank take actions to increase the growth rate? Can the central bank take actions to lower the inflation rate? How does a change in the interest rate influence consumption expenditure and investment?

That's Right! - The central bank can do nothing about growth but raising the nominal interest rate above the inflation rate creates a positive real interest rate, which slows consumption expenditure and investment and slows inflation.

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