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The Economics of Covid Testing

After waiting in line for hours to get a Covid-19 test at a test center, Patrick tried to buy a test kit at a pharmacy. Unable to find one, he turned to the Internet and bought five kits online for $20 each from his former classmate, Joey. In this post, we use the economic way of thinking to understand Patrick’s choices.

What were Patrick’s choices and what was the cost of each?

With limited resources of time and money, Patrick had two choices: line up at a test center for hours and have a free test or buy a test kit online for $20 and do the test at home.

The cost of each choice is an opportunity cost—the best alternative forgone. The opportunity cost of a free test is the best alternative use of the time spent in the waiting line. The opportunity cost of the $20-test kit is the other good or service that he would have bought with the $20.

Why did Patrick buy test kits from Joey?

Patrick bought test kits from Joey because that was a rational choice—the choice that achieved the greatest benefit over the cost. The benefit of a test minus the cost of waiting in line was smaller than the benefit of five kits minus the cost of forgoing $100-worth of another good or service.

Why did Patrick buy five test kits rather than four or six?

Patrick bought the number of test kits that achieved the greatest benefit over cost. To make his decision, he compared marginal benefit and marginal cost. His marginal benefit from a test kit decreases with each additional kit he buys. The marginal benefit of a fourth test kit exceeded its marginal cost. His marginal benefit from a fifth test kit equaled or exceeded its marginal cost. But his marginal benefit from a sixth test kit was less than its marginal cost. So, buying five test kits achieved the greatest benefit over cost.

Now take a short quiz to check that you understand what you just read.

Answer the following questions to check your understanding of the story.

Why are kits piling up on pharmacy shelves?

Kits are piling up on pharmacy shelves because the __________________ test kits __________________.

As infections decreased, consumers changed their test kit buying plans. Did this change of plans influence supply?

As infections decreased, consumers changed their test kit buying plans. Did this change of plans influence both the demand for and supply of test kits?

As infections decreased, consumers changed their test kit buying plans. Did this change of plans influence supply?

The decrease in infections decreased the value that people place on test kits and demand for the test kits decreased. Supply didn’t change.

How will the market for test kits return to equilibrium?

The price will ________________, which will ________________.

The quantity supplied exceeds the quantity demanded, so there is a surplus of test kits. What happens in a market when there is a surplus? The price changes, which creates a change in the quantity demanded and the quantity supplied. Demand and supply do not change.

The quantity supplied exceeds the quantity demanded, so there is a surplus of test kits. How will the market price change to eliminate the surplus? A rising price would create an even larger surplus.

The quantity supplied exceeds the quantity demanded, so there is a surplus of test kits. How will the market price change to eliminate the surplus? The demand and supply do not change.

The quantity supplied exceeds the quantity demanded, so there is a surplus of test kits. The market price will start to fall and as it does, the quantity demanded increases, the quantity supplied decreases, and the surplus is eliminated.

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